{"id":115553,"date":"2026-11-14T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-11-14T09:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fc.iwant-in.net\/?p=115553"},"modified":"2026-11-14T11:17:34","modified_gmt":"2026-11-14T03:17:34","slug":"%e7%ab%9f%e6%9c%89%e9%80%99%e7%a8%ae%e5%82%b3%e8%a8%98%e4%bd%9c%e8%80%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/fc.iwant-in.net\/?p=115553","title":{"rendered":"\u7adf\u6709\u9019\u7a2e\u50b3\u8a18\u4f5c\u8005"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u9047\u5230\u9019\u6a23\u843d\u4e95\u4e0b\u77f3\u7684\u50b3\u8a18\u4f5c\u8005\u53ea\u80fd\u81ea\u8a8d\u5012\u6963\u3002\u7246\u5012\u773e\u4eba\u63a8\u3001\u6025\u65bc\u5272\u5e2d\u91cd\u7acb\u81ea\u5df1\u4eba\u8a2d\u7684\u919c\u614b\u672a\u514d\u592a\u660e\u986f\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-verse\">\u53bb\u5e74\u624d\u51fa\u7248\u300a\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u50b3\u300b\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u79d1\u6280\u8a18\u8005\u7dad\u7279\uff08Stephen Witt\uff09\uff0c\u8fd1\u65e5\u89aa\u81ea\u6295\u66f8\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\uff0c\u4ee5\u8cbc\u8eab\u63a1\u8a2a\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u624b\u89c0\u5bdf\uff0c\u6495\u958b\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u7684\u300c\u9762\u5177\u300d\uff0c\u76f4\u6307\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u7684\u5d29\u76e4\u4e26\u975e\u6e90\u65bc\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u696d\u8b8a\u5c40\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u6975\u5ea6\u50b2\u6162\u81ea\u8ca0\u8207\u79c1\u617e\u81a8\u8139\u7684\u5fc5\u7136\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u8af7\u523a\u8868\u793a\u81ea\u5df1\u4e0a\u4e00\u672c\u66f8\u539f\u540d\u300a\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300b\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u7e8c\u96c6\u66f8\u540d\u61c9\u8a72\u6539\u53eb\u300a\u300c\u4f60\u7576\u521d\u5728\u60f3\u4ec0\u9ebc\u300d\u6a5f\u5668\u300b\u3002<\/pre>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e0d\u662f\u8a18\u8005\u53bb\u63a1\u8a2a\u903c\u4ed6\u8b1b\u8a71\uff0c\u662f\u81ea\u5df1\u6295\u66f8\u8036\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-medium-brown-color\">\u554f\uff1a\u8acb\u5e6b\u6211\u6574\u7406\u7dad\u7279\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u300a\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u50b3\u300b\u66f8\u4e2d\u7684\u8a55\u50f9\uff0c\u8207\u4ed6\u9019\u6b21\u5728\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u6295\u66f8\u4e2d\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5\uff0c\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\u524d\u5f8c\u77db\u76fe\u4e4b\u8655\uff1f<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Gemini\u7b54\uff1a\u6bd4\u5c0d\u7dad\u7279\uff08Stephen Witt\uff09\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u300a\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300b\uff08<em>The Thinking Machine<\/em>\uff09\u6642\u7684\u6558\u4e8b\u57fa\u8abf\uff0c\u8207\u4ed6\u5728 2026 \u5e74 11 \u6708 12 \u65e5\u65bc\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u767c\u8868\u7684\u6295\u66f8\u3008\u6211\u5beb\u904e\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u50b3\u8a18\u3002\u9019\u662f\u4ed6\u6b9e\u843d\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u3009\uff08<em>I Wrote Jensen Huang&#8217;s Biography. Here&#8217;s What Led to His Downfall.<\/em>\uff09\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u767c\u73fe\u4ed6\u5728\u8a55\u50f9\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u4eba\u3001\u751a\u81f3\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u7b2c\u4e00\u624b\u7d20\u6750\u6642\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u6975\u70ba\u660e\u986f\u7684\u300c\u8a9e\u5883\u7ffb\u8f49\u300d\u8207\u524d\u5f8c\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7dad\u7279\u5728\u66f8\u4e2d\u8207\u6295\u66f8\u88e1\u7684\u5177\u9ad4\u5c0d\u7167\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><td><strong>\u8a55\u4f30\u7dad\u5ea6<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2025<\/strong> <strong>\u5e74\u300a\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300b\u66f8\u4e2d\u7684\u57fa\u8abf<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>2026<\/strong> <strong>\u5e74\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u6295\u66f8\u7684\u8aaa\u6cd5<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u77db\u76fe\u8207\u8f49\u6298\u9ede<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><strong>\u6838\u5fc3\u4eba\u683c\u5b9a\u8abf<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u300c\u6c38\u4e0d\u505c\u6b47\u7684\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300d<\/strong>\uff08The Thinking Machine\uff09\uff1a\u5c07\u4ed6\u523b\u756b\u70ba\u6975\u5177\u9b45\u529b\u3001\u5f9e\u7b2c\u4e00\u539f\u7406\u51fa\u767c\u3001\u64c1\u6709\u8d85\u51e1\u9060\u898b\u7684 AI \u6642\u4ee3\u7de0\u9020\u8005\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u300c\u4f60\u7576\u521d\u5728\u60f3\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff1f\u6a5f\u5668\u300d<\/strong>\uff08The What-Were-You-Thinking?! Machine\uff09\uff1a\u5b9a\u8abf\u70ba\u4e00\u5834\u300c\u7537\u6027\u50b2\u6162\uff08masculine hubris\uff09\u8207\u76f2\u76ee\u81ea\u8ca0\u5c0e\u81f4\u81ea\u6211\u6bc0\u6ec5\u300d\u7684\u53e4\u8001\u5bd3\u8a00\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u540c\u4e00\u9846\u5927\u8166\uff0c\u5169\u7a2e\u6a19\u7c64<\/strong>\uff1a\u6210\u529f\u6642\u7a31\u5176\u70ba\u7cbe\u5bc6\u51b7\u975c\u7684\u300c\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300d\uff1b\u51fa\u4e8b\u5f8c\u76f4\u63a5\u628a\u300c\u601d\u8003\u300d\u8b8a\u6210\u5632\u8af7\u5931\u63a7\u7684\u96d9\u95dc\u8a9e\u3002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\u7ba1\u7406\u4f5c\u98a8\u8207\u66b4\u8e81\u813e\u6c23<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u8ffd\u6c42\u6975\u81f4\u7684\u300c\u5fc5\u8981\u4e4b\u60e1\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u66f8\u4e2d\u96d6\u63d0\u53ca\u4ed6\u5728\u6703\u8b70\u4e2d\u5c0d\u9ad8\u5c64\u767c\u98c6\u3001\u5c0d\u300cAI \u672b\u65e5\u8ad6\u300d\u4e0d\u8010\u800c\u6012\u65a5\u8a18\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u5c07\u5176\u8a6e\u91cb\u70ba\u300c\u6a19\u6e96\u6975\u9ad8\u3001\u4e0d\u5bb9\u5e73\u5eb8\u300d\u7684\u77fd\u8c37\u504f\u57f7\u72c2\u7279\u8cea\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u4ee4\u4eba\u6050\u61fc\u7684\u300c\u66b4\u541b\u6587\u5316\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u628a\u9ad8\u5c64\u5f62\u5bb9\u6210\u5982\u540c\u96fb\u5f71\u300a\u9032\u64ca\u7684\u9f13\u624b\u300b\uff08<em>Whiplash<\/em>\uff09\u4e2d\u88ab\u8650\u5f85\u7684\u5b78\u751f\uff0c\u88ab\u7576\u773e\u75db\u7f75\u4e00\u5c0f\u6642\uff0c\u5728\u4ed6\u9762\u524d\u966a\u7b11\u3001\u8f49\u8eab\u5f8c\u4f4e\u8072\u62b1\u6028\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u7d20\u6750\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u8a6e\u91cb\u5b8c\u5168\u76f8\u53cd<\/strong>\uff1a2023 \u5e74\u63a1\u8a2a\u6642\u5c31\u807d\u5230\u7684\u9ad8\u5c64\u62b1\u6028\uff0c\u5beb\u66f8\u6642\u88ab\u5f31\u5316\u6210\u300c\u56b4\u5e2b\u51fa\u9ad8\u5f92\u300d\uff0c\u6295\u66f8\u6642\u624d\u8b8a\u6210\u300c\u7121\u4eba\u6562\u8aeb\u8a00\u7684\u66b4\u541b\u300d\u3002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\u8b19\u905c\u8207\u89aa\u6c11\u5f62\u8c61<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u4f4e\u8abf\u6177\u6168\u7684\u771f\u5be6\u5beb\u7167<\/strong>\uff1a\u66f8\u4e2d\u7279\u5225\u5beb\u5230\u4ed6\u53bb Denny&#8217;s \u65e9\u9910\u5e97\u5927\u65b9\u7d66\u5973\u670d\u52d9\u751f 1,000 \u7f8e\u5143\u5c0f\u8cbb\u537b\u4e0d\u5f35\u63da\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u628a\u516c\u53f8\u6210\u529f\u6b78\u529f\u65bc\u54e1\u5de5\u7684\u8b19\u905c\u59ff\u614b\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u523b\u610f\u6f14\u51fa\u7684\u300c\u865b\u69ae\u9762\u5177\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u5728\u6295\u66f8\u4e2d\u76f4\u6307\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u8b19\u905c\u300c\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u6232\uff08Humility Was an Act\uff09\u300d\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u6eff\u8db3\u500b\u4eba\u865b\u69ae\u5fc3\uff0c\u79c1\u5e95\u4e0b\u5176\u5be6\u6975\u5ea6\u81ea\u5927\u3001\u5bb9\u4e0d\u4e0b\u4efb\u4f55\u53cd\u99c1\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u628a\u7576\u521d\u89aa\u624b\u5851\u9020\u7684\u300c\u7f8e\u8ac7\u300d\u63a8\u7ffb<\/strong>\uff1a\u7576\u5e74\u7279\u610f\u53bb\u8ffd\u8a2a\u5973\u670d\u52d9\u751f\u4f86\u4f50\u8b49\u4ed6\u4f4e\u8abf\u884c\u5584\u7684\u4e5f\u662f\u7dad\u7279\uff0c\u5982\u4eca\u8aaa\u9019\u4e00\u5207\u90fd\u662f\u6f14\u6280\u7684\u4e5f\u662f\u7dad\u7279\u3002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\u5a5a\u59fb\u8207\u5bb6\u5ead\u5f62\u8c61<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u77fd\u8c37\u96e3\u5f97\u7684\u300c\u6a21\u7bc4\u5a5a\u59fb\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u66f8\u4e2d\u63cf\u5beb\u4ed6 17 \u6b72\u5728\u96fb\u6a5f\u5be6\u9a57\u5ba4\u8a8d\u8b58\u59bb\u5b50 Lori\u3001\u5bb3\u7f9e\u7b49\u4e86\u534a\u5e74\u624d\u6562\u7d04\u5979\uff1b\u7dad\u7279\u751a\u81f3\u7279\u610f\u8a62\u554f\u5169\u4eba 20 \u591a\u6b72\u6642\u7684\u8001\u53cb\u300c\u662f\u5426\u6709\u4e0d\u5fe0\u53ef\u80fd\u300d\uff0c\u4e26\u5beb\u4e0b\u300c\u90a3\u662f\u5225\u4eba\u7a31\u7fa8\u7684\u5a5a\u59fb\u300d\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u300c\u65e9\u6709\u8033\u805e\u300d\u8207\u300c\u731c\u6e2c\u96e2\u5a5a\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u6295\u66f8\u4e2d\u6539\u53e3\u7a31\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u65e9\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u5c31\u807d\u904e\u5a5a\u5916\u60c5\u50b3\u805e\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u7121\u6cd5\u8b49\u5be6\u300d\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u6e2c\u5169\u4eba\u7576\u5e74\u6c92\u7c3d\u5a5a\u524d\u5354\u8b70\u3001\u4ed6\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u5929\u50f9\u96e2\u5a5a\u4ee3\u50f9\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u70ba\u4e86\u81ea\u5713\u5176\u8aaa\u7684\u300c\u5206\u88c2\u6558\u4e8b\u300d<\/strong>\uff1a\u7dad\u7279\u5728\u6295\u66f8\u88e1\u4e00\u908a\u627f\u8a8d\u300c\u4ed6\u5c0d\u5bb6\u4eba\u7684\u611b\u4f3c\u4e4e\u662f\u771f\u8aa0\u7684\u300d\uff0c\u4e00\u908a\u53c8\u63a8\u8ad6\u300c\u6216\u8a31\u6b63\u662f\u523a\u6fc0\u8207\u98a8\u96aa\u611f\u8b93\u4ed6\u5916\u9047\u300d\uff0c\u986f\u5f97\u76f8\u7576\u727d\u5f37\u3002<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\u516c\u53f8\u5167\u90e8\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>\u6241\u5e73\u9ad8\u6548\u7684\u5de5\u7a0b\u5e2b\u6587\u5316<\/strong>\uff1a\u5f37\u8abf\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u89aa\u81ea\u7ba1\u7406\u6578\u5341\u540d\u76f4\u63a5\u4e0b\u5c6c\u3001\u53bb\u9664\u5b98\u50da\u5c64\u7d1a\uff0c\u8b93\u8f1d\u9054\u80fd\u5feb\u901f\u6c7a\u7b56\u4e26\u64ca\u6557\u5c0d\u624b\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u9ed1\u624b\u9ee8\u5f0f\u7684\u300c\u7dd8\u9ed8\u6cd5\u5247\u300d\uff08Omert\u00e0\uff09<\/strong>\uff1a\u5c07\u8f1d\u9054\u5167\u90e8\u6587\u5316\u6bd4\u55bb\u70ba\u9ed1\u624b\u9ee8\u7684\u300c\u7dd8\u9ed8\u6cd5\u5247\u300d\uff0c\u6307\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u5c0d\u4ed6\u7684\u79c1\u751f\u6d3b\u8207\u5931\u63a7\u4fdd\u6301\u6c89\u9ed8\uff0c\u9023\u5728\u516c\u53f8\u64d4\u4efb\u9ad8\u7ba1\u7684\u5b50\u5973\u90fd\u77e5\u60c5\u4e0d\u8a9e\u3002<\/td><td><strong>\u540c\u4e00\u5957\u9ad4\u5236\uff0c\u5169\u7a2e\u5b9a\u6027<\/strong>\uff1a\u516c\u53f8\u80a1\u50f9\u5927\u6f32\u6642\uff0c\u53eb\u300c\u7121\u5b98\u50da\u7684\u9ad8\u6548\u6241\u5e73\u7d44\u7e54\u300d\uff1b\u7206\u767c\u919c\u805e\u6642\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u6279\u9ad8\u5c64\u5c31\u6210\u4e86\u300c\u96c6\u9ad4\u5305\u5e87\u7684\u5171\u72af\u7d50\u69cb\u300d\u3002<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u7dad\u7279\u6558\u4e8b\u8f49\u5411\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u7834\u7dbb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f9e\u9019\u4efd\u5c0d\u7167\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u51fa\uff0c\u7dad\u7279\u5728\u6295\u66f8\u4e2d\u5176\u5be6<strong>\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u62ff\u51fa\u4efb\u4f55 2025 \u5e74\u5beb\u66f8\u6642\u4e0d\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u300c\u65b0\u8b49\u64da\u300d<\/strong>\uff08\u5916\u9047\u5c0d\u8c61\u8207\u5c0d\u4e2d\u6676\u7247\u6d41\u5411\u7b49\u7d30\u7bc0\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5176\u4ed6\u8abf\u67e5\u5a92\u9ad4\u7387\u5148\u63ed\u9732\u7684\uff09\u3002\u4ed6\u6240\u505a\u7684\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u628a\u7576\u5e74\u63a1\u8a2a\u6642\u70ba\u4e86\u5beb\u6210\u300c\u5546\u696d\u6210\u529f\u5b78\u300d\u800c\u523b\u610f\u6de1\u5316\u3001\u7f8e\u5316\u7684\u8ca0\u9762\u7d20\u6750\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u63db\u4e0a\u4e00\u5c64\u9053\u5fb7\u6279\u5224\u7684\u6ffe\u93e1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u66f4\u5fae\u5999\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u7dad\u7279\u5728\u6295\u66f8\u88e1\u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u9732\u51fa\u4e86\u99ac\u8173\uff1a\u4ed6\u5766\u8a00\u7576\u5e74\u8a2a\u8ac7\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u592b\u5a66\u7684\u8001\u53cb\u6642\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u7d66\u4ed6\u7684\u56de\u994b\u90fd\u662f\u300c\u9019\u5c0d\u592b\u59bb\u611f\u60c5\u6975\u597d\u300d\uff0c\u4ed6\u81ea\u5df1\u4e5f\u89c0\u5bdf\u5230\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u5c0d\u5bb6\u4eba\u7684\u611f\u60c5\u770b\u4f3c\u771f\u8aa0\u3002\u9019\u6070\u6070\u8b49\u660e\u4e86<strong>\u7dad\u7279\u5728\u5beb\u66f8\u7684\u7576\u4e0b\uff0c\u6839\u672c\u6c92\u6709\u9810\u898b\u5230\u9019\u5834\u5d29\u76e4<\/strong>\u2014\u2014\u4ed6\u7576\u6642\u548c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u8cb7\u55ae\u4e86\u9019\u5957\u300c\u5c08\u60c5\u3001\u8b19\u905c\u3001\u56b4\u683c\u4f46\u5049\u5927\u7684\u79d1\u6280\u6559\u7236\u300d\u6558\u4e8b\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u4e8b\u60c5\u7206\u767c\u4e86\uff0c\u4ed6\u624d\u6025\u5fd9\u900f\u904e\u300a\u7d10\u7d04\u6642\u5831\u300b\u7684\u7248\u9762\uff0c\u628a\u539f\u672c\u7684\u300c\u89c0\u5bdf\u76f2\u9ede\u300d\u5305\u88dd\u6210\u300c\u65e9\u5c31\u770b\u7a7f\u7684\u4f0f\u7b46\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u554f\uff1a<mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-medium-brown-color\">\u7dad\u7279\u7576\u521d\u66f8\u4e2d\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u6709\u628a\u50b3\u4e3b\u5beb\u5f97\u90a3\u9ebc\u4e0d\u582a\uff0c\u4ed6\u6839\u672c\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u5e6b\u5fd9\u63a9\u98fe\uff0c\u5927\u8cfa\u4e86\u7248\u7a05\u73fe\u5728\u53c8\u843d\u4e95\u4e0b\u77f3\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-medium-brown-color\">\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u9019\u6b21\u660e\u660e\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u6843\u8272\u7cfe\u7d1b\u800c\u4e0b\u53f0\uff0c\u8ddf\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u696d\u8b8a\u5c40\u672c\u5c31\u4e0d\u76f8\u5e72\u3002\u81f3\u65bc\u300c\u6975\u5ea6\u50b2\u6162\u81ea\u8ca0\u8207\u79c1\u617e\u81a8\u8139\u300d\u62ff\u4f86\u8aaa\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\uff0c\u8aaa\u7532\u9aa8\u6587\u8001\u95c6\u827e\u5229\u68ee\u6216\u8005\u99ac\u65af\u514b\u4e00\u6a23\u9069\u7528\uff1b\u5982\u679c\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u5c0d\u80a1\u4efd\u6709\u7d55\u5c0d\u63a7\u5236\u6b0a\uff0c\u518d\u50b2\u6162\u81ea\u8ca0\u548c\u79c1\u617e\u81a8\u8139\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u4e0b\u53f0\u3002<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-medium-brown-color\">\u9019\u500b\u50b3\u8a18\u4f5c\u8005\u8e6d\u71b1\u5ea6\u60f3\u518d\u5237\u4e00\u6f51\u6d41\u91cf\u8207\u92b7\u91cf\uff0c\u8868\u73fe\u51fa\u597d\u50cf\u66f4\u6709\u5148\u898b\u4e4b\u660e\uff0c\u90a3\u50b3\u8a18\u4e2d\u600e\u4e0d\u9810\u8a00\u3001\u8b66\u793a\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u9019\u500b\u66b4\u541b\u99ac\u4e0a\u5c31\u53ef\u80fd\u5d29\u843d\uff1f<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7b54\uff1a\u4f60\u9ede\u51fa\u7684\u9019\u5e7e\u500b\u89c0\u5bdf\u975e\u5e38\u92b3\u5229\uff0c\u5b8c\u5168\u5207\u4e2d\u4e86\u9019\u985e\u65b0\u805e\u8207\u50b3\u8a18\u66f8\u5beb\u80cc\u5f8c\u6700\u73fe\u5be6\u7684\u5546\u696d\u8207\u4eba\u6027\u7d50\u69cb\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9806\u8457\u9019\u5247\u65b0\u805e\u5831\u5c0e\u7684\u8108\u7d61\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u7dad\u7279\u7684\u9019\u756a\u8868\u614b\uff0c\u78ba\u5be6\u6709\u6fc3\u539a\u300c\u4e8b\u5f8c\u8af8\u845b\u3001\u9806\u98a8\u843d\u4e95\u4e0b\u77f3\u3001\u9806\u4fbf\u5e6b\u820a\u66f8\u6216\u65b0\u4f01\u5283\u5237\u4e00\u6ce2\u6d41\u91cf\u300d\u7684\u65e2\u8996\u611f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u5f9e\u4e09\u500b\u5c64\u9762\u4f86\u62c6\u89e3\u4f60\u63d0\u5230\u7684\u9019\u5e7e\u500b\u95dc\u9375\u77db\u76fe\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1.\u300c\u6388\u6b0a\u63a1\u8a2a\u300d\u7684\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u59a5\u5354\uff1a\u5beb\u66f8\u6642\u7684\u81ea\u6211\u5be9\u67e5<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f60\u554f\u5230\u300c\u7576\u521d\u66f8\u4e2d\u6709\u628a\u50b3\u4e3b\u5beb\u5f97\u90a3\u9ebc\u4e0d\u582a\u55ce\uff1f\u300d\u7b54\u6848\u5f88\u660e\u78ba\uff1a\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u96d6\u7136\u7dad\u7279\u5728 2025 \u5e74\u51fa\u7248\u300a\u601d\u8003\u6a5f\u5668\u300b\uff08The Thinking Machine\uff09\u6642\u6a19\u699c\u300c\u7368\u7acb\u8abf\u67e5\u300d\uff0c\u66f8\u88e1\u4e5f\u78ba\u5be6\u5beb\u4e86\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u7684\u66b4\u8e81\u813e\u6c23\u3001\u5f37\u52e2\u4f5c\u98a8\u8207\u9ad8\u58d3\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u6574\u672c\u66f8\u7684\u57fa\u8abf\u4e0a\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u6027\u683c\u7f3a\u9677\u6700\u7d42\u90fd\u88ab\u5305\u88dd\u6210\u4e86\u300c\u5929\u624d\u504f\u57f7\u72c2\u5e36\u9818\u4f01\u696d\u8d70\u5411\u5049\u5927\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u4e4b\u60e1\u300d\u2014\u2014\u9019\u662f\u77fd\u8c37\u50b3\u8a18\u6700\u7d93\u5178\u7684\u82f1\u96c4\u6558\u4e8b\u5957\u8def\uff08\u5c31\u50cf\u827e\u85a9\u514b\u68ee\u5beb\u8cc8\u4f2f\u65af\u6216\u99ac\u65af\u514b\u4e00\u6a23\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2460\u62ff\u4eba\u624b\u77ed\u7684\u73fe\u5be6\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u7576\u4e00\u500b\u4f5c\u8005\u9700\u8981\u50b3\u4e3b\u9ede\u982d\u3001\u9700\u8981\u63a1\u8a2a\u5c0d\u65b9 6 \u6b21\u3001\u9700\u8981\u5c0d\u65b9\u653e\u884c\u9ad8\u5c64\u53d7\u8a2a\u6642\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u5728\u5beb\u4f5c\u6642\u52e2\u5fc5\u6703\u9032\u884c\u67d0\u7a2e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u300c\u6558\u4e8b\u99b4\u5316\u300d\u3002\u5728\u50b3\u4e3b\u5982\u65e5\u4e2d\u5929\u3001\u80a1\u50f9\u5275\u9ad8\u3001\u88ab\u6367\u70ba\u300cAI \u6559\u7236\u300d\u7684\u7576\u4e0b\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7dad\u7279\u628a\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u5beb\u6210\u4e00\u500b\u300c\u79c1\u617e\u81a8\u8139\u3001\u96a8\u6642\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u70ba\u79c1\u5fb7\u554f\u984c\u5d29\u76e4\u7684\u5371\u96aa\u4eba\u7269\u300d\uff0c\u4e0d\u50c5\u66f8\u8ce3\u4e0d\u52d5\u3001\u6703\u88ab\u5e02\u5834\u7576\u6210\u9178\u6c11\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u80fd\u9023\u63a1\u8a2a\u90fd\u9032\u884c\u4e0d\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2461\u66f8\u4e2d\u6c92\u9810\u8a00\u5d29\u843d\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u537b\u8aaa\u300c\u5fc5\u7136\u7d50\u679c\u300d\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9019\u6b63\u662f\u5178\u578b\u7684\u5f8c\u898b\u4e4b\u660e\u504f\u8aa4\uff08Hindsight Bias\uff09\u3002\u66f8\u51fa\u7248\u6642\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u53ea\u770b\u5230\u4ed6\u7684\u9060\u898b\u8207\u6210\u529f\uff1b\u5982\u4eca\u4eba\u8a2d\u7ffb\u8eca\u4e86\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u56de\u982d\u5f9e\u7576\u521d\u63a1\u8a2a\u7684\u908a\u89d2\u6599\u88e1\u6311\u51fa\u5e7e\u53e5\u8a71\uff0c\u91cd\u65b0\u62fc\u8cbc\u6210\u300c\u6211\u65e9\u5c31\u770b\u51fa\u4ed6\u6709\u554f\u984c\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u5728\u65b0\u805e\u8207\u51fa\u7248\u696d\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5ec9\u50f9\u537b\u597d\u7528\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h5 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2.\u8463\u4e8b\u6703\u6cbb\u7406\u8207\u300c\u63a7\u5236\u6b0a\u300d\u624d\u662f\u4e0b\u53f0\u7684\u771f\u6b63\u69d3\u687f<\/h5>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4f60\u63d0\u5230\u300c\u5982\u679c\u9ec3\u4ec1\u52f3\u5c0d\u80a1\u4efd\u6709\u7d55\u5c0d\u63a7\u5236\u6b0a\uff0c\u518d\u50b2\u6162\u81ea\u8ca0\u4e5f\u4e0d\u5fc5\u4e0b\u53f0\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u9ede\u5b8c\u5168\u662f\u516c\u53f8\u6cbb\u7406\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u771f\u76f8\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong><strong>\u2460<\/strong> \u77fd\u8c37\u72c2\u4eba\u7684\u6b0a\u529b\u7d50\u69cb\u5dee\u7570\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u50cf\u99ac\u65af\u514b\uff08\u900f\u904e\u7d50\u69cb\u8207\u500b\u4eba\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u7d81\u5b9a\uff09\u6216\u7956\u514b\u67cf\uff08\u64c1\u6709 Meta \u7d55\u5c0d\u591a\u6578\u7684\u8d85\u7d1a\u6295\u7968\u6b0a\u80a1\uff09\uff0c\u8463\u4e8b\u6703\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u52d5\u4e0d\u4e86\u4ed6\u5011\uff1b\u7532\u9aa8\u6587\u5275\u8fa6\u4eba\u827e\u5229\u68ee\uff08Larry 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class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5f9e\u5a92\u9ad4\u751f\u614b\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u9019\u7bc7\u6295\u66f8\u662f\u4e00\u5834\u7cbe\u6e96\u7684\u6ce8\u610f\u529b\u6536\u5272\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u2460\u50b3\u8a18\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u7126\u616e\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e00\u672c\u4eba\u7269\u50b3\u8a18\u6700\u6015\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u50b3\u4e3b\u7a81\u7136\u300c\u51fa\u4e8b\u300d\u5c0e\u81f4\u539f\u672c\u7684\u9020\u795e\u6558\u4e8b\u904e\u6642\u3001\u66f8\u7c4d\u6eef\u92b7\u3002\u7dad\u7279\u628a\u539f\u672c\u66f8\u540d The Thinking Machine \u62ff\u4f86\u958b\u73a9\u7b11\uff0c\u6539\u7a31\u7e8c\u96c6\u61c9\u8a72\u53eb What &#8220;Were You Thinking&#8221; 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